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Saturday, January 17, 2015
so my girlfriend works as a substitute teacher in an undisclosed region. last week a sixth grade boy asked her repeatedly if he could make a speech in front of the class on how "ISIS is fake." she said no, we don't have time for that.
perhaps not as awkward as the day before when a girl asked her what pronoun to assign to transgender folk. (she recommended to ask she/he what they prefer.)
Friday, October 17, 2014
Monday, September 22, 2014
Saturday, August 2, 2014
the recent high in this ratio closely matched the geometric mean of the 1999 top and the 2011 bottom of 2.771 (actual high was 2.821).
so that is a 50 per cent retracement on a logarithmic scale.
I also see some similarity in the chart pattern over the last year and a half and the topping pattern from 1997 to 2000. obviously the time frame and magnitudes are different, but structurally they look similar.
I've received a handful of emails this year asking me for my outlook on the stock market. I try to point out that I haven't made an accurate call on stocks since the Fall of 2011, so I'm not sure why anyone would take anything I say regarding the broader market seriously. but, still, I've had a numerological target in mind for some time: 2004 on the $SPX. recent highs have come to within less than a per cent of that number, so the recent weakness doesn't surprise me. but a retest or even minor new highs wouldn't surprise me either. plus, what I am looking for at this point is a sizable correction, not necessarily the advent of a full-on bear market. that remains to be seen.
Thursday, June 19, 2014
ok like a 5 per cent move for gold stocks today, seems to have everyone excited. so for all you clamoring for an update on the PM complex charts:
so I bought some bottoms the last few months, got the entire account in FSAGX, overall cost basis of 19.51. don't have a clue what's next, but I'd sure like to keep moving the next couple months, didn't figure I'd have to continue updating this trade and fucking charts this long as it is. I'll let you know when we start selling.